Room for debate on climate change

Climate change is absolutely certain – it’s been changing since the earth was born – climate warming is not

Mr. Secco’s letter published Dec. 19 criticizing another writer’s opinion that climate “change” is not certain is also subject to criticism (they used to call it “climate warming” – for anybody confused with changing terminology).

Mr. Secco also cherry picks data. Yes, the last 17 years (since 1998) may have been the warmest on record, but temperatures have not increased since 1998, and in any event it’s the future we’re worried about.

Climate activists like to call the lack of an increase in temperatures over the last 17 years a “pause” but that implies that a rise in temperature will most certainly occur in the future, again based on IPCC models.

The problem is that the IPCC models absolutely failed to predict this “pause”, or plateau, if we use a neutral term, and while proffering multiple  suggestions, cannot actually explain why it occurred. In fact, they say their models are 95 per cent certain that a pause/plateau longer than 10 years in duration was impossible – but here we are.

The only alternate (they acknowledge) was that their models predicting rising temperatures were wrong. It’s interesting to note that over the years and reports done by the IPCC their prediction as to the actual future temperature increases has actually been falling. Climate change is absolutely certain – it’s been changing since the earth was born – climate warming is not, and now we know why they don’t use that phrase any more.

Yes rising greenhouse gases are a concern and all things being equal, should cause raising temperatures, but whether all things are equal, or how much temperature increase it will cause (if any), is very much up in the air – shown by the IPCC’s constantly changing predictions as to actual rise in temperatures.

In any event, the elephant in the room is population increase. The UN mid-range prediction is that by 2050 there will be an additional 2.5 billion people (a 36 per cent increase), mostly in Third World countries. All will want western-style living standards – which means energy consumption. Why isn’t anybody talking about this?

Happily, the warming climate has also caused a significant greening of the earth as reported by satellite observations, and these plants will take CO2 out of the air and will provide more food. So it’s not all bad.

Terry Sturgeon

Oak Bay

 

Just Posted

Elizabeth May’s wedding dress a ‘walk through a garden’ on Earth Day

Green Party leader set to get married in Victoria

Peninsula students taking advantage of French activities

Canadian Parents for French help organize and promote activities

Monday sees rain with high of 10 C

Plus your weekly forecast

Number of ancient humans continues to grow after discovery

Scientists identify at least 12 species outside of Homo sapians following discovery in Philippines

Sri Lanka invokes war-time military powers after nearly 300 killed in Easter bombings

Sri Lanka’s minister of tourism says 39 foreign tourists were killed in the Easter Sunday attacks

POLL: How often does your family use BC Ferries?

Navigating the lineups for BC Ferries is a way of life for… Continue reading

Crime Stoppers most wanted for Greater Victoria for the week of April 16

Greater Victoria Crime Stoppers is seeking the public’s help in locating the… Continue reading

Trudeau to be portrayed on ‘Simpsons’ episode

Toronto journalist who’s posted videos of himself doing impressions of the PM voiced him for the show

Campbell River RCMP say alcohol and speed may be factors in collision

Woman injured after driver ran into her car on Highway 19A, says fire captain

Bodies of 3 mountain climbers recovered after last week’s Banff avalanche

The men disappeared while attempting to climb the east face of Howse Peak in the Icefields Parkway

Happy birthday: Queen Elizabeth II turns 93 on Easter Sunday

Sunday is the first of two birthday celebrations each year for the queen

RCMP confirm witnesses say body found at Kelowna’s Gyro Beach

Police tape is blocking part of the beach and several RCMP officers are on scene.

B.C. fire department rescues kittens

Enderby homeowner not aware kittens in wood pile near garbage pile fire that got out of hand

Most Read